基于IAHP的地下商业街火灾风险评价
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(51274100)


Underground commercial street fire risk evaluation based on IAHP
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    摘要:

    为了降低地下商业街火灾带来的损失,提出运用区间层次分析法(IAHP)对地下商业街火灾进行风险评价。采用改进的Delphi法,从防火能力、灭火能力、消防管理和疏散能力4个方面,构建地下商业街火灾3级安全评价指标体系。运用区间特征根法(IEM)计算各评价指标的权重值,并在总目标下进行权重排序。为了印证评价模型的可靠性,以湘潭河西地下商业街火灾系统为实例进行运算,结果表明湘潭河西地下街火灾主要危险因素为:人员的逃生能力、消防宣传力度、火灾负载,评价结论与实际情况相符。

    Abstract:

    To reduce the losses caused by fire disaster of underground commercial street, Using Interval Analytic Hierarchy Process (IAHP) to assess the risk of underground commercial street fire disaster. Applying modified Delphi method from 4 aspects such as :fire resistance property, fire-fighting capability, fire management and evacuation capability to build third-level safety evaluation index system of underground mall fire disaster. Adopting IEM to calculate the weight value of each index, and conduct the rank of weight value under the overall objective. To confirm the reliability of evaluation model, Took west Xiangtan underground commercial street fire disaster system as an example for calculation, the result of evaluation showed that the main risk factors of the underground commercial street of west Xiangtan fire disaster are divided into three aspects: ability of escaping, fire fighting propaganda, fire load of fire disaster.AS a result, evaluation conclusion correspond with the actual situation.

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潘杰,施式亮,李润求,唐凌.基于IAHP的地下商业街火灾风险评价[J].河北工程大学自然版,2016,33(1):71-75

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  • 收稿日期:2015-11-19
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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-04-26
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