农村金融发展对农民收入增长的影响—以安徽省为例
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F832

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安徽高校人文社会科学研究重点资助项目(编号:SK2019A0958)


The Impact of Rural Financial Development on Farmers’ Income Growth——A Case Study of Anhui Province
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    摘要:

    为探讨安徽省农村金融发展对农民收入增长的影响,基于总量生产函数与VAR模型,选取1990-2019年的年度时间序列数据进行分析。结果表明,长期内农村金融发展与农民收入增长之间存在稳定的均衡关系,经由农村金融规模较大的负向效应与农村金融效率较小的正向效应,农村金融发展负向影响农民收入增长;农村金融规模与农民收入增长存在双向的格兰杰因果关系,农村金融效率是农民收入增长单方向的格兰杰原因。短期内,农村金融规模与农村金融效率对农民收入增长的脉冲影响渐趋稳定,二者对农民收入增长方差的变化均具有较高的贡献度。扩大农村地区资金供给,完善农村金融信用环境,加强农村金融创新,有利于发挥农村金融对农民增收的促进作用。

    Abstract:

    By selecting the annual time series data from 1990 to 2019, based on the total production function and VAR model, this paper discusses the impact of rural financial development on Farmers’ income growth in Anhui Province. The results show that there is a stable equilibrium relationship between rural financial development and farmers’ income growth in the long run. The negative effect of rural financial scale on Farmers’ income growth is greater than the positive effect of rural financial efficiency on Farmers’ income growth. Therefore, rural financial development has a negative impact on Farmers’ income growth. There is a two-way Granger causality between rural financial scale and farmers’ income growth, and rural financial efficiency is only the Granger reason for farmers’ income growth. In the short term, the impulse impact of rural financial scale and efficiency on Farmers’ income growth is becoming more and more stable, and both of them have a certain contribution to the change of farmers’ income growth variance. Expanding capital supply in rural areas, improving rural financial credit environment and strengthening rural financial innovation are conducive to giving full play to the role of rural finance in increasing farmers’ income.

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刘炯.农村金融发展对农民收入增长的影响—以安徽省为例[J].河北工程大学学报社会科学版,2021,38(4):37-45

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  • 收稿日期:2021-07-23
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-02-11
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